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As I have predicted, Amr Moussa, former Egyptian foreign minister and Arab League head, has declared his candidacy for president of Egypt. I’d bet he is the most likely to be elected, as a nationalist and ”anti-Islamist” candidate.
While very possibly the best alternative to the Muslim Brotherhood-backed Muhammad ElBaradei, Moussa is a flamboyant demagogue who is sure to try to score points by bashing the United States, the West, and Israel.
Syria, and thus also its ally Iran, would be pleased by his election; the Saudis will be horrified. Israel will do its best to deal with him, knowing he will be a rhetorical headache but hoping his actual behavior will be pragmatic. He will be no great bargain for U.S. interests either.
It will be interesting to see if President Obama positions himself as favoring ElBaradei despite his Muslim Brotherhood connections. That would make Moussa angrier toward Washington and the United States more unpopular in Egypt.
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By Barry Rubin
“All that [glitters] is not gold;
Often have you heard that told…
Gilded tombs do worms enfold….
–William Shakespeare, “Merchant of Venice”
Is this the long-awaited Arab Spring of Democracy or is it a stealth Islamist revolution? Every country is different and most governments other than Egypt and Tunisia, possibly Bahrain, Yemen, and Libya, will survive. One should not assume the results will be the blessings of democracy or the sufferings of an even worse dictatorship. Facts, not assumptions, should produce conclusions.
There are, however, serious reasons to worry about Egypt. The two leading contenders for president so far are Muhammad ElBaradei and Amr Moussa. It is an interesting exercise to figure out who would be worse. ElBaradei is an inexperienced politician dependent on Muslim Brotherhood support. Moussa is a mercurial, irresponsible radical Arab nationalist known for demagoguery.
And so while ElBaradei would probably run a government characterized by growing Islamism at home and support for Hamas, attacking Israel, and subverting Jordan abroad; Moussa would probably head a government using an economically ruinous nationalist populism at home and support for Syria, attacking Israel, and subverting Jordan and Saudi Arabia abroad.
Neither would be particularly friendly to the United States and Western interests, though keeping American aid might make them somewhat cautious. Unless a strong moderate, liberal democratic or a conservative status quo oriented candidate appears, Egypt and the world will be stuck with one of those two choices.
While it is too early to figure out what is going to happen, we are now at the point where it is possible to make an educated guess. So here it is: there’s good news and there’s bad news.
The good news is that the Muslim Brotherhood is unlikely to take Egypt over and turn it into an anti-American Islamist state eager to go to war with Israel.
The bad news is that the next government of Egypt is likely to be a radical nationalist regime that is anti-American and likely to push relations to Israel to a limit where conflict might result.
And that is what goes for an optimistic assessment in the Middle East.
We now have two polls and while both are flawed the basic theme is extremely telling. A Siraj poll for al-Aan television concludes that 49 percent think Moussa will be the next president. Another poll—focuses on urban, middle class Egyptians (so it is misleading but still gives some sense of proportion) gives Amr Musa 29 and ElBaradei 4 percent.
What all this means is that ElBaradei is totally dependent on the Muslim Brotherhood since the urban liberal middle class–supposedly his fans–don’t back him. The Brotherhood would have to turn out a really massive vote among the urban poor and in the villages to win. Very few people will vote because they like ElBaradei on his own merits. It doesn’t matter whether the Western media likes him (or thinks him moderate), only Egyptians have a vote.
In other words, even if the Brotherhood could produce a vote of 30 or 35 percent for ElBaradei, he still wouldn’t win if he faced a strong nationalist candidate like Moussa.
The Muslim Brotherhood is also forming its own party, for the parliamentary elections, and it has given us an important hint (not yet noticed by anyone in the Western media) by naming the party, “’hurriyya wa adala,” which means the Freedom and Justice party. This is very close to the Turkish Islamist party, the Development and Justice Party (AKP). Some might take this to mean the Brotherhood is going to be moderate. I take it as showing that the Brotherhood is going to be crafty, pushing Islamism step by step so that, among other things, the Western media and governments don’t wake up and see what’s happening.
Again, the Brotherhood isn’t going to win a majority in parliament. But unlike the presidential election, the ability to elect, say, one-third of the members in a multi-party legislature will give them enormous influence in shaping the new Egypt. The U.S. government has already announced–without being asked–that it doesn’t mind the Brotherhood being in government.
So consider, for instance, that the Brotherhood enters a coalition as a junior partner. It takes social welfare, labor, religious affairs, and some other “unglamorous” ministries where it can wield influence, broaden its base, hire its people, and seize control of institutions. We could have the prospect before year’s end of Muslim Brotherhood ministers spending U.S. tax dollars to teach young Egyptians to hate the United States and support an Islamist state in Egypt.
Maybe they won’t be part of the coalition. But in that case the Brotherhood is likely to lead the opposition. And if the government fails–economic problems, rising disorder at home, disappointment at the revolution’s results–the Brotherhood can prepare itself to lead some future government. Or, alternatively, the nationalist government would try to outbid the Brotherhood by proving its own militancy, piety, and hostility to the West and Israel.
The political battle lines forming are quite different from what Westerners think. Take the yuppie, Facebook, Google hero Wael Ghonim, the symbol of the “anti-Islamist” moderate democratic reformer. He was reportedly not even allowed on the stand for Yusuf al-Qaradawi’s massive pro-Islamist rally in Cairo. Nonetheless, Ghonim tweeted:
“I loved Sheikh Qaradawi['s semon] today. Was truly inspired when he said: `Today I’m going to address both Muslims and Christians.’ Respect!”
And then:
The pleasure of the presence of a sermon by Shaykh Qaradawi. Today I more than liked what he said…”I will say O Muslims O Muslims and Copts because you are all Egyptians.” (sic)
Notice what is happening here. Ghonim endorses the most moderate thing Qaradawi said—about Muslim-Christian understanding–but ignores the rest. Is he afraid of Qaradawi? Trying to flatter him? Trying to use Qaradawi for his own purposes?
I do not think Ghonim supports the Muslim Brotherhood. What’s happening is worse: He knows that the Brotherhood is too powerful for him to criticize, so he must endorse the most “moderate” aspect of its message, that is, the coexistence of Muslims and Christians, hoping to steer it in a less radical direction.
It doesn’t matter. Qaradawi is the one who draws the masses with his Islamist ideas. Ghonim knows it and that’s why he doesn’t mention the fact that he was thrown off the stage. And he also doesn’t mention the chants of, “To Jerusalem we go, for us to be the Martyrs of the Millions.”
Look at a picture of the massive crowd for Qaradawi and you know who’s boss.
We should remember that not only does Qaradawi endorse terrorism but he’s the kind of guy who can say that the Jews are so evil that God sent Hitler to smite them, though he adds, having it both ways, that the Holocaust is exaggerated by the Jews. Pro-Hitler revolutionary Islamists are not the best bet for building the kind of democracy Westerners seem to expect in Egypt. Here’s a detailed bibliography of past statements by Qaradawi.
As part of this reality check, we should already note that the military regime is gradually easing up on travel and trade between Egypt and the Gaza Strip (publicly) and also on trying to stop weapons’ imports by Hamas (secretly).
Meanwhile, for comic relief, the U.S. government has announced that it will give Egypt another $150 million (that’s about $1.50 for each Egyptian) to assist the country’s democratic transformation. Egypt is going to need more like $150 billion.
But, as I noted above, most Egyptians at present don’t want the Brotherhood to run the country. They are looking for an alternative. The only other fully realized world view available is nationalism and the only alternative identity is Arab.
Let’s assume that Moussa is the next president of Egypt. What can we expect? He won’t abrogate the peace treaty with Israel but, to be popular, will violate to the greatest possible extent and denounce Israel regularly as a (the?) cause of Egypt’s problems. Moussa (though less than the Brotherhood) will help Hamas (bad news for the Palestinian Authority) and get along with (but mistrust and keep his distance from) Iran. He covets popularity which means—especially when he can’t solve Egypt’s economic problems—he will play the demagogue and stir up hatred against the United States, the West, and Israel.
I would bet that he gets along well with the army, giving it what it wants, and also seeks good relations with Syria. In other words, this would be bad news for Israel, Jordan, Saudi Arabia, and the United States. Not as bad as ElBaradei perhaps but bad enough.
Asad Abu Khalil, aka “The Angry Arab”–sometime consultant to the U.S. Defense Department by day, anti-American radical by night–defines this situation well by writing:
“We don’t know how the foreign policies of new Arab democracies will shape up. But here is a simply formula: FPAD (Foreign Policy of Arab Democracies) will at least be: at least the current foreign policy of Turkey PLUS the Arab factor. That can only result in…panic of Israel and Zionists.”
I must say that I have not detected any panic in those quarters. It is a revealing idea that Israel should be the one most upset at the idea of Arab peoples trading a chance for democracy, freedom, and progress to prefer decades more of fruitless strife and scapegoating. I’d think Arabs should be the ones most upset by such prospects.
Perhaps they should learn something from Germany and Japan after 1945, turning away from past ambitions and aggressions. Or the Central European countries escaped from Communism, dispensing with ideology, mobilization for perpetual strife, and state-sponsored enmities.
Instead, it’s like someone not merely angry but quite mad, raving: “You think I’m going to settle down, turn away from failed battles I always lose, and raise living standards, avoid conflict, get along with the West, and expand freedom! I’ll show you! I’m going to hate even more and fight even harder! Mu-ha-ha-ha!”
They don’t understand that Israel’s success is based on an ultimately pragmatic approach that puts first its own people’s welfare rather than seeking revenge or impossible ambitions.
Yet the apparent satisfaction of the perpectually Angry Arab about how much this is supposedly going to upset Israel, indifferent to how much this will hurt Arabs, is indeed the very stuff Arab politics has been made up of for about the last sixty years.
Certainly, the Western countries aren’t panicking since they aren’t even aware of what’s going on. After all, we are already hearing that the Muslim Brotherhood is moderate and so is Moussa. Wait for when they discover he even has his own Facebook page (albeit only in Arabic)!
It makes me want to paraphrase an ancient Greek saying in this way: Those whom the gods would destroy they first make define their enemies as well-intentioned moderates.
It is so painful to watch the horror show underway in Libya right now. Estimates tell us that at least 1,000 Libyans are dead. Many more are wounded. Some 100,000 people have apparently fled Libya in recent days as the situation goes from bad to worse.
The first sentence of a new Time magazine article asks, “Is it the End of Days for Libya?” The article looks at the rising death toll as Gaddafi continues using his army to slaughter the Libyan people desperate for change. It also asks the question of whether Libya will experience peace even if (or when) Gaddafi is deposed. Dirk Vandewalle, a Libyan expert at Dartmouth University, told Time: ”Both sides, both the population, and the security organizations, know exactly what’s at stake. If government militias [are to] win, they will have to kill many more, and if the security organizations lose, then the people, the regular people in Libya are going to take their revenge….Either way we’re going to see a terrible blood bath.” David Mack, a former deputy Assistant Secretary of State for Near East Affairs, told Time that the worst possible outcome would be a widespread lawlessness in which Libya degenerated into a kind of “Somalia on the Mediterranean.”
What does the Bible tell us? Libya is referred to numerous times in the Scriptures, both directly and indirectly.
In Matthew 27, for example, we learn that it was a Libyan man — Simon of Cyrene (a part of ancient Libya) – who carried the cross for our Lord Jesus.
In Acts chapter 2, we learn that God-fearing men from Libya were present in Jerusalem on the Day of Pentecost and heard the Apostle Peter preach the gospel in the power of the Holy Spirit. Some 3,000 people that days repented of their sins and became fully devoted followers of Jesus Christ. It is likely that Libyans were among them since they are mentioned in the text.
In Acts 11, we learn that Libyan (Cyrene) followers of Jesus Christ helped bring the gospel to Antioch, Syria, and made disciples for Jesus there.
In Acts 13 we learn that a Libyan man — Lucius of Cyrene — becomes one of the leaders of the church at Antioch, helping send out Barnabus and Paul to take the gospel to Asia and Europe.
Again and again in the Scriptures we see that the Lord loves the people of Libya. He wants them to know Him and receive His free gift of salvation.
That said, Bible prophecy also tells us the government and many of the people of Libya will be engaged in great evil in the End of Days.
In Ezekiel 38-39, we learn that Libya is one of the nations that joins the Russian-Iranian alliance against Israel in “the last days.” In this prophecy, Ezekiel uses the name “Put.” The first century historian Flavius Josephus wrote in his famous book, The Antiquities of the Jews, that “Put” or “Phut” is “ancient Libyos.” Ancient Libyos, we know, certainly included the territory of the modern nation state we refer to today as Libya, but also included Algeria and possibly Tunisia. This tells us the no matter what the near term outcomes of the revolutions underway in North Africa are, in the not-too-distant future Libya for certain and possibly her neighbors will have virulently anti-Semitic and anti-Israel leadership who will eagerly join a coalition bent on destroying the Jews and occupy the land of Israel. Gaddafi, of course, is already such a leader. Perhaps he will ride out this storm and stay in power. Perhaps someone worse will rise up after him. Hopefully Gaddafi will be deposed and a more moderate leadership will rise up for a season before the prophecy of the “War of Gog and Magog” comes to fulfillment. Either way, the Church should be using this window of time to do everything possible to get the gospel into Libya and to strengthen the persecuted believers in Libya before the country faces God’s judgment for attacking Israel.
In Daniel 11, we learn that Libya is one of the countries that will be under the control and direction of the Antichrist in “the last days.” The Hebrew Prophet Daniel tells us that “a despicable person will arise” during “a time of tranquility” and will seize global power “by intrigue” and by “overflowing forces” in the End Times. This person, known in Christian theology as the Antichrist, ”will do as he pleases, and he will exalt and magnify himself above every god and will speak monstrous things against the God of gods; and he will prosper until the indignation is finished, for that which is decreed will be done.” The Bible tells us the Antichrist “will enter the Beautiful Land” — that is, Israel — and “will stretch out his hand against other countries.” Eventually, the Antichrist will gain control of the entire world and force all people who haven’t received Christ as Savior and Lord to bow and worship him or be beheaded. But the Bible specificially notes that the Antichrist ”will gain control over the hidden treasures of gold and silver and over all the precious things of Egypt; and Libyans and Ethiopians [the people of "Cush," which includes modern Sudan, Ethiopia and possible Eritrea] will follow at his heels.” It is not entirely clear why the Bible points specifically to “Libyans” and “Ethiopians” as among those who will follow and serve the Antichrist, but this is what the Lord tells us in advance will happen.
This is all the more reason the Church must seek to reach all of North Africa with the gospel of Jesus Christ before it is too late. Please be praying faithfully for Libya and all of North Africa at this critical hour.
“Sam Sandmonkey” has written me asking if I was accusing him of being “anti-Israel” or a Muslim Brotherhood supporter. Absolutely not on both counts. I analyzed what he wrote in the context of praising him highly for his courage and moderation. If he or anyone else got that idea from what I wrote, I’m baffled and such ideas never crossed my mind.
I have re-read my article and believe that nothing in it shows any such conclusions. Let me make clear that I have closely followed the pro-democratic liberals in different Arabic-speaking countries and Iran. My book, The Long War for Freedom, is a tribute to their efforts and an analysis of the problems they face. We are talking here of people who have faced arrests, torture, and all sorts of harassment in pursuit of a better life for themselves and their people.
My point was rather on the very real objective problems that affect moderate Egyptians who know that others who may not be so moderate could gain power in the future. Again, nothing in my article was meant as a criticism of someone for whom I have the greatest respect.
PS: He has written that he has re-read my article and understands it was not an attack on him.
Let us all be clear that if Egypt achieves a stable democratic and moderate state in which the government works hard and at a high priority to improve the lives of its people then everyone will benefit. There are concerns that this won’t happen. How can one best assure that Egypt does succeed? By honestly pointing out the problems and pitfalls in order that people can try to avoid them.
There is a wider problem here in which people seem to believe that NOT discussing problems is somehow beneficial. It is argued, for example, that it is better not to talk about the radical aspects of Islam in politics lest people become bigoted against Muslims. Or that it is better not to highlight the extremism and threat of Iran lest this lead to (incredibly unlikely) an American attack on Iran. Or it is better to shut up about the realities of Palestinian politics lest this damage the chance (already seriously damaged by reality) of achieving peace.
Self-inducted blindness or self-censorship due to wishful thinking benefits no one.
Director of National Intelligence James Clapper told the Senate Select Intelligence Committee recently that he thinks the Muslim Brotherhood is against the Egypt-Israel peace treaty but isn’t really sure and also doesn’t know much about the Muslim Brotherhood.
Clapper earlier famously said that the Muslim Brotherhood is a secular and moderate group. Is Clapper that stupid? Well, he was stupid to go so far as to say that the Brotherhood is secular but the rest seems policy-oriented.
Remember that the Obama Administration earlier said (without being asked) that it would accept the Brotherhood in an Egyptian government if it met two very vague conditions–rejecting violence and supported democratic goals–which U.S. officials said had already been fulfilled. Since everyone seems to think that the Brotherhood has somehow already rejected violence (it hasn’t, it just doesn’t use violence within Egypt and thinks that terrorism abroad is just dandy), this shouldn’t be much of a barrier.
Policy often reasons backward. Since the Obama Administration has accepted a Brotherhood role in government, it cannot say that the Brotherhood is radical Islamist, pro-terrorist, antisemitic, seeks to wipe Israel off the map, and will do everything it can to help Hamas. Because if the U.S. government does say such things the next question from a member of Congress or the media would be: then how could you possibly accept its role in Egypt’s government and seek a dialogue with such a group?
So the policy must make the analysis stupid. Of course, this is a major mistake by the Obama Administration. It has painted itself into a corner in which it cannot say anything bad about the Brotherhood or try to urge (or even help) the Egyptian military to keep the Brotherhood out of power. It and the supportive media also thus need to suppress quoting what the Brotherhood says in Arabic about such things.
In short, the U.S. government has paralyzed itself from doing anything to combat or even publicize the greatest threat to democracy and stability in Egypt. Or, to put it another way, U.S policy scored an “own goal” and thinks it won the game.
Note: “own goal” is a football (soccer) term for when a team accidentally kicks the ball into its own net, thus giving a point to the other team. The closest American football equivalent would be a safety, though in this case it is a reduction of safety for everyone in America and everyone in the Middle East.
With its usual deftness in choosing op-ed contributors, the New York Times has given its readers, “A Saudi Prince’s Plea for Reform by AlWaleed Bin Talal Bin Abdulaziz al-Saud.
He is held up, thusly, to all New York Times readers as a noble democratic reformer, the kind of person we would like to overthrow dictatorships and take over countries, right?
The Times does not, of course, remind its readers that this is the very prince who offered to pay New York City a lot of money to help it rebuild after the September 11 attacks. Oh, there was one condition put on the aid by this democratic hero of a prince: Mayor Rudy Giuliani had to condemn Israel in order to get the cash.
Now there’s a guy who understands democracy, right?
PS: I thought about making a joke in which the prince offers to let the Times publish his oped only if it bashed Israel first but then I realized…(you finish the sentence).
Recently, Tariq Ramadan, considered by the Western intelligentsia to be the very epitome of enlightened Islamism, wrote a New York Times op-ed in which he was not only allowed–among other total lies–to deny that the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood and his grandfather, who then led the group, were Nazi collaborators before, during, and even after World War Two. In fact, he dares claim–because he knows the mainstream media will not expose this lie–that the Muslim Brotherhood was an anti-fascist organization!
I wrote a short but detailed letter to the newspaper on this point at the urging of my readers but, not surprisingly, it went unpublished. Meanwhile, a student at an elite American college wrote me how this oped article was taught by his teacher as the absolute truth.
Dr. Wolfgang Schwanitz, probably the world’s leading authority on Germany and the Middle East, and myself are writing a book entitled Germany, The Nazis, and the Making of the Modern Middle East that will be published by Yale University Press next year.
The book will revolutionize people’s understanding of this issue. But I’d like to present you with three draft paragraphs from the book—fully documented by German documents—on the particular issue of the Muslim Brotherhood and fascism.
Here’s the first one:
“The Islamists of the Brotherhood were well-financed by the Germans, both directly and through [Amin] al-Husaini [leader of the Palestinian Arabs and a collaborator with the Germans]. Wilhelm Stellbogen, director of the German News Bureau in Cairo, an Abwehr [German Military Intelligence] man, and acting press attaché, paid sums of 1,000 Egyptian pounds to them several times during 1939 alone. To put this sum into perspective, the Brothers high-priority fund-raising effort for Palestine netted only 500 pounds for that entire year. The mufti of Jerusalem, leader of the Palestine Arabs Amin al-Husaini who was in Berlin cooperating closely with Hitler, also supplied money through his contacts in Cairo like Auni Abd al-Hadi, Muhammad Ali Tahir, and Sabri Abd ad-Din.”
Al-Husaini, with the Brotherhood’s cooperation, planned to kill all Jews in the Middle East once the German army conquered the area. In preparation, he sent three of his men to an SS course to learn about mass extermination.
Here’s the second section:
“On the evening of July 7, 1942, [when it seemed as if the German army would soon conquer Cairo] the Voice of the Free Arabs [the station controlled by Amin al-Husaini, mufti of Jerusalem and leader of the Palestinian Arabs] broadcast to Egypt the following message:
“Kill the Jews who took your valuables….According to Islam it is a duty to defend your lives. This can only be fulfilled by the liquidation of the Jews. This is your best chance to get rid of this dirty race. Kill the Jews! Set their possessions on fire! Demolish their shops! Liquidate those evil helpers of British imperialism! Your only hope for rescue is to annihilate the Jews before they do this to you.”
The Muslim Brotherhood, along with the neo-fascist Young Egypt party, had been given German weapons which an Arab commando team in the German army had hidden in western Egypt. It was ready to spring into action to murder Egyptian Jews and deliver the country to the Nazis. But it was prevented from carrying out this plan by the British, who seized control of Egypt in a virtual military coup at this moment. In addition, on the very day this broadcast was made, the advance of General Erwin Rommel’s forces was stopped.
But the Nazi weapons were used eventually. After the war, the Brotherhood dug them up and used them to arm their forces sent to wipe out Israel in the 1948 war. One of those in the unit–as was demonstrated in my biography of Arafat–co-authored with Judith Colp Rubin–Yasir Arafat: A Political Biography, was Arafat himself
The New York Times and other newspapers that printed Ramadan’s false account should publish the truth about the Muslim Brotherhood’s collaboration with the Nazis as well as its virulent and frequently expressed antisemitism that continues to this day.
The fact that Middle East experts, historians, and others have not deluged the Times with criticism for this travesty is astonishing.
Acts 12:5
Peter therefore was kept in the prison; but prayer was earnestly made by the Church to God on his behalf.
James 5:17
Elijah was a man of like nature with us; and he prayed earnestly that it might not rain.
The prayers of Scripture all glow with the white heat of intensity.
Remember how Jacob wrestled, and David panted and poured out his soul; the importunity of the blind beggar, and the persistency of the distracted mother; the strong crying and tears of our Lord.
In each case the whole being gathered up, as a stone into a Catapult, and hurled forth in vehement entreaty.
Prayer is only answered for the glory of Christ; but it is not answered unless it be accompanied with such earnestness as will prove that the blessing sought is really needed. – F.B. Meyer.
Pray to be delivered from coldness and formality in prayer. Be watchful against prayer drifting into a lifeless mechanical operation. It is the effectual fervent prayer of a righteous man that availeth much.
- Daily Meditations for Prayer
“If something like we have seen in Egypt or Libya happens in Saudi Arabia, we’re talking about a catastrophic scenario that will bring a global economic meltdown.”
Talking to Gal Luft about security and the effect of oil on the global economy is not for the faint of heart. The executive director of the Washington-based think tank the Institute for the Analysis of Global Security spoke to The Jerusalem Post on Wednesday during the fourth annual Eilat-Eilot Renewable Energy Conference, in a 45-minute conversation that described the petroleum tightrope on which the world’s economies are teetering.
“The world needs to wake up to the fact that if a country like Saudi Arabia follows the same path we’ve seen in Egypt, Tunisia and Libya, it would be a very, very dangerous situation for every economy in the world – the rich and poor alike,” said Luft. “The first thing that will happen is, the poor people of the world will starve; there will be no oil to distribute food in places like Africa. Then all the world markets will collapse.”
He noted that “every single recession since World War I except for one has been preceded by an oil crisis. When there is an oil crisis, very shortly after, you see a major recession.
The reason that the situation now is so delicate is that we just had a recession. When you have a recession on top of a recession, it’s like a heart attack on a heart attack – you are too weak, you can’t handle it.”
According to Luft, “if we get another oil shock, it can roll back all of the economic recovery we’ve had. Then you will see millions of people losing their jobs around the world.”
To make matters worse, Luft said he didn’t believe that a hypothetical Western-led military intervention to secure Saudi Arabia’s oil fields would help matters.
“Let’s say the US sends the military to take over Saudi Arabia. The oil fields in Saudi Arabia are in the eastern, mostly Shi’ite province next to Iran, so the Iranians will start an intifada there. They’d blow up the fields, they’d blow up the pipelines, they’d boobytrap everything there and you’ll see a situation like Iraq or Afghanistan, just in the world’s richest oil province,” he said.
“These are very, very dangerous, catastrophic scenarios, so I don’t think sending the military over will make us any safer economically.
It’s very easy to take over an area militarily. It doesn’t mean you can maintain economic activity in the same place.”
If the world’s oil supply is threatened, security issues for Israel would only worsen, Luft added.
“The flipside is that [in such a scenario,] the very same countries we’re trying to weaken, like Iran, would strengthen. What you would see is a historic transfer of wealth from the world’s poorest people to the world’s richest people. Because people in Africa will have to buy oil for the same price that everybody else does; they don’t get a discount for being poor.”
Luft, who is also the co-founder of the Set America Free Coalition – an alliance of national security, environmental, labor and religious groups promoting ways to reduce America’s dependence on foreign oil – said the most crucial necessity was to break oil’s monopoly on the world’s transportation systems.
This, he said, could help end the current situation wherein we “base our entire future and prosperity and way of life on a group of dictatorships that might collapse in a matter of a few days.”
“The transportation sector, which underlies the global economy, runs on oil. Your food, your clothes, everything is dependent on oil. We’re all treading on very thin ice if we think about this, like a turkey before Thanksgiving. Everything is good, you’re getting your food and you’re happy, and then you wake up and it’s Thanksgiving and life gets very unhappy.”
Luft said the United States must pass laws that would require every new car sold in America be a “flexible fuel” car, arguing that “if you’re running out of oil, then it’s folly to continue to put cars on the road that can only run on oil.”
Luft mentioned conclusions drawn in his book, Turning Oil into Salt: Energy Independence Through Fuel Choice, which describes how salt went from being one of the world’s top commodities to just another resource.
“Salt used to be one of the world’s most prestigious commodities because it had a monopoly on food refrigeration,” he explained. “Then we invented canning, and later refrigeration, and that’s it, you no longer needed to send soldiers to defend salt mines.
Salt became boring. Hopefully the same will happen with oil, making it just another commodity stripped of its strategic power.”
In a hotel suite overlooking Universal Studios in Hollywood this past week, a hodgepodge band of Christians from around the world gathered for prayer, asking God for servants’ hearts to spread the gospel of Jesus Christ and for transformation of the entertainment industry.
And if the next day’s red-carpet events in the same hotel are any indication, God has been answering those prayers.
Ministry leaders from New York City and Germany, scriptwriters from Wisconsin and New Zealand, representatives from as far away as Hong Kong and Japan were gathered with Hollywood insiders – and those who simply appreciate the power of cinema – at the Universal City Hilton outside Los Angeles to pray in preparation for Moveguide’s 19th Annual Awards Gala and Report to the Industry.
The event marked more than two decades of prayer and hard work by Movieguide – since its inception in 1985 – to re-instill Christian values and faith-friendly messages into the movies.
In his organization’s 80-page statistical analysis and report to the entertainment industry, Dr. Ted Baehr, founder of MovieGuide and chairman of the Christian Film and Television Commission, gave evidence of the transformation he’s been praying for:
According to the report, the number of R-rated films Hollywood produces has declined dramatically from 81 percent of the major movies released in 1985 to about 40 percent in 2010.
Among the year’s top 25 best-grossing movies, 12 were R-rated in 1996, compared to only 4 in 2010.
And while R-rated films are in decline, the percent of films with positive moral content is on the rise, from 26 percent of major movies in 1991, to 62 percent in 2000, to 84 percent in 2010.
The percent of films with positive Christian content is also on the rise, from 10 percent in 1991, to 41 percent in 2000, to 60 percent in 2010.
“There is good news in Hollywood,” the Movieguide report states. “Since we started to redeem the values of the mass media of entertainment, we have seen more and more of the results of our strategic efforts to clean the screens because 1) the number of pro-Christian movies has increased dramatically; 2) Hollywood studios have developed working relationships with us; and, 3) more and more top Hollywood executives and creative talent have joined with us to produce better movies and entertainment.”
The report continues, “There are now more family movies and more movies with positive Christian content and positive Christian worldviews than since the end of the Golden Age of Hollywood in 1966.”
Movieguide was launched in 1985, after Baehr met George Heimrich, former director of the Protestant Film Office, which had for years kept Hollywood immorality in check through the Motion Picture Production Code, until the film rating system used today took effect in the late 1960s. Baehr believed that Christians had since abandoned the filmmaking industry to a swift moral decline and determined to restore a Christian presence in Hollywood.
Movieguide began as a typed newsletter, compiled at a local copy store in Atlanta, Ga., but eventually moved to Hollywood, where in 1992 it began to honor films and filmmakers whose work embodied the virtues and messages of a Christian worldview. The growing ministry also began analyzing box office data, only to discover that the kinds of films it was promoting were far more profitable than films laced with sex, drugs, profanity and anti-Christian messages.
Baehr determined to trumpet the findings to Hollywood executives through a report given at the Annual Movieguide Awards.
Christian author and 1980s TV star Nancy Stafford – who played Andy Griffith’s law partner Michelle Thomas on “Matlock” – attended this year’s award show and explained to WND the impact of the Movieguide awards.
“There’s a real hunger for film and television that is life-affirming and faith-affirming. And certainly Movieguide is the one awards show that really highlights that programming,” Stafford said. “And I think Ted’s report to the entertainment community, when he gets to actually give the nuts and bolts, the numbers that studio people really care about, it’s an eye-opener.
“When they get to see a night like this and see some of these hidden little gems of films and television that really are touching and poignant and funny, but life-changing, I think it’s really making an impact, and I know audiences love it,” she continued. “And I think when audiences are voting, I think pretty soon, Hollywood is going to get the message.”
According to Baehr’s report, however, Hollywood is already “getting the message”:
“Our Annual Report to Hollywood shows once again, with relevant financial statistics, that people, including most moviegoers, want good to conquer evil, truth to triumph over falsehood, justice to prevail over injustice, and true beauty to overcome ugliness,” the report states. “And they want to see their religious faith respected and celebrated.”
“Since 1992, Movieguide has been analyzing the box office totals of all the major movies and revealing what we’ve found to top studio executives and celebrities in Hollywood,” the report continues. “Because of our early efforts … the tide began to shift in 1999, when 40 movies had strong, positive Christian content. Titles as widely different as ‘The Green Mile,’ ‘The Straight Story,’ ‘Runaway Bride,’ ‘Toy Story 2′ and ‘The Winslow Boy’ contained firm nods to Christianity and Christian virtues, often in very explicit ways.
“Then, of course, came another watershed year, in 2004,” the report explains. “That was the year that Mel Gibson released ‘The Passion of the Christ,’ and, with help from such movies as ‘The Incredibles,’ ‘Spider-Man 2,’ ‘Ladder 49′ and ‘Woman, Thou Art Loosed,” the strongest Christian movies set a record in average box office.”
But 2010, the report reveals, has proven better than ever.
“For 2010, we … counted more than 150 movies with at least some, positive, Christian, redemptive content reflecting biblical values (161 to be exact), and even more movies containing morally uplifting content of some kind,” the report states. “Since we began sponsoring the Annual Movieguide Faith & Values Awards Gala and Report to the Entertainment Industry, the number of movies with positive Christian content and moral, biblical values has more than quadrupled!”
As WND reported, this year’s Movieguide awards recognized a number of television programs and major motion pictures, granting its highest prize – for a film that “greatly increases man’s love or understanding of God” – to “The Chronicles of Narnia: The Voyage of the Dawn Treader.” The same prize for a television movie went to “Amish Grace,” which was telecast on Lifetime Television.
Movieguide also selected “Toy Story 3″ for the Best Movie for Families award, while choosing “Secretariat” in its Best Movie for Mature Audiences category.
Music and Hollywood icon Pat Boone stepped off the red carpet leading into the ceremony to talk with WND about the significance and impact of the Movieguide awards over the years.
“I have been coming to these events for the past 15 years,” Boone said. “Producers, directors, writers – they’ll come here to get an award, and when they do, they see why they’re getting an award and the kind of things that we’re hungering for [in films]. Then they go back to their studios and they look for other projects that might merit an award for the same reason that they’ve gotten one, which is uplifting family, not denigrating the faith, not glamorizing degenerate behavior.
“And so it is a strong influence, and it’s not just condemning the bad, it’s awarding the good,” Boone said. “So I think it’s genius. I think it’s God.”
For the first time in modern history, four Americans have been shot and killed by pirates that have long plagued the Gulf of Aden and the Indian Ocean.
The fate of the crew on board the Quest went off course Feb. 18 when Somali pirates seized the private, American-owned yacht.
The situation took a turn for the worst Tuesday morning, when U.S. naval warships heard gunfire. By the time authorities boarded the ship, they found all four Americans shot and killed.
“Despite immediate steps to provide life-saving care, all four of the hostages died of their wounds,” said Vice Adm. Mark Fox, commander of the U.S. Naval Forces Central Command.
The boat belonged to California couple Scott and Jean Adam, who’d been living on the ship and sailing the seas since 2002. According to their website, their mission was to travel to ports around the world distributing Bibles and “seeking fertile ground for the Word.”
Those who knew the Adams say they were doing their life’s work.
“Their personal mission and their dream was to deliver Bibles,” church friend Ed Archer said. “They’re very faith-filled. They were very involved here at the parish. That was their world dream.”
Phyllis Macay and Bob Riggle, two of the couple’s friends from Washington state, were also on board and killed.
Dangerous Waters
The ship was hijacked about 300 miles off the Somali coast.
“Pirates in that part of the world are becoming more demanding for higher ransom and more violent,” family friend Dan Heyl said.
A fleet of four U.S. naval warships had been trailing the yacht for several days and was in the middle of negotiating the couple’s release.
“We don’t know if these Somali pirates are loyal to al Shabaab, the terrorist group that is trying to impose Sharia law and seize control of Somalia,” CBN News Sr. International Correspondent Gary Lane explained. “If they are, then they wouldn’t hesitate to execute these Christians.”
In all, 19 pirates were involved in hijacking the Quest. Fifteen are currently in U.S. custody, and two were killed by U.S. forces.
Two others were found dead on board the Quest, but it’s unclear whether the pirates had been fighting among themselves or with the hostages.
An article in Egypt’s constitution that affirms Islam as the state religion likely will remain untouched despite hopes among the country’s Christian minority that the recent uprising would usher in an era of greater tolerance for non-Muslims.
A committee considering amendments to the 1971 constitution said in a statement Sunday that article II would not be amended, the Al-Masry Al-Youm newspaper reported.
Article II reads, “Islam is the religion of the state and Arabic is its official language. Principles of Islamic law (Shari’a) are the principal source of legislation.”
The articles that are in line to be amended are those dealing with the state’s decision-making policies, including powers of the president and parliament, the statement said.
The committee was set up last week on the orders of the military council that took over when Hosni Mubarak stood down as president on February 11. It has been given 10 days to propose constitutional amendments to enable “free and fair” elections to be held. The suggested changes will be put to a referendum within two months.
The makeup of the committee caused some controversy. The military-appointed chairman, retired judge Tariq al-Bishri, is described in Egyptian media reports as a respected jurist supportive of an independent judiciary, but he also is associated with Al-Wasat, a “moderate” Islamist offshoot of the Muslim Brotherhood.
The panel members chosen by Bishri include a Muslim Brotherhood lawyer and former member of parliament. No other political party is represented, according to local reports.
The committee does include one member of the minority Coptic Christian community, but a Coptic Church lawyer, Nagib Gibrail, told Al-Masry Al-Youm that the appointee, a judge, had never been known to advocate for religious freedom.
Gibrail also pointed out that while the Coptic judge was appointed in his judicial capacity, the Muslim Brotherhood was represented politically on the committee.
All of the committee members are men. In a posting on his Twitter account on Saturday, State Department spokesman Philip Crowley voiced disappointment that no women were on the panel. “It is a concern that women are excluded from the constitutional committee that must ensure all rights.”
Muslim Brotherhood official Mohsen Radi said on Sunday that Copts and women should only be eligible for ministerial positions but not the presidency.
Copts are the largest Christian minority in the Middle East, a community that predates the Islamic conquests of the 7th century. Copts today comprise about 10 percent of Egypt’s predominantly Muslim population.
Christians have for many years faced discrimination, intolerance and persecution both from the state and Islamists, according to religious advocacy and human rights watchdogs.
A suicide bombing at a Coptic church in Alexandria on New Year Day left 21 people dead, and was described as the worst sectarian attack targeting the minority in a decade.
Testifying before the U.S. House of Representatives last month, U.S. Commission for International Religious Freedom member Nina Shea cited “serious, widespread, and long-standing human rights violations against religious minorities, as well as disfavored Muslims” in Egypt.
“Confronted by these violations, the Egyptian government has failed to take the necessary steps to halt the discrimination and repression against Christians and other minorities,” she said. “Too often, it has failed to punish the violators. This failure to mete out justice continues to foster a climate of impunity, making further attacks likely.”
‘Civil government, not Islamic government’
A Coptic Christian told CNSNews that Christians are hoping to see article II of the constitution amended, to declare specifically that Egypt is a country where freedom of religion is upheld.
(Other articles of the constitution, 40 and 46, do deal with freedom of belief and say citizens have “equal public rights and duties without discrimination between them due to race, ethnic origin, language, religion or creed” but Copts say these has long been violated in many ways.)
Ramy Asfour expressed concern about the composition of the constitutional committee and the likely outcome of its work.
“I don’t know if the new one [constitution] will be okay or not, and if it is okay I don’t know how they will use it later,” he said.
Asked how he and Christian friends and family would feel about a new government in which the Muslim Brotherhood plays a major role, Asfour pointed to situations elsewhere in the region where strict Sunni or Shi’ite regimes are in place.
“I am afraid Egypt will later become like Saudi Arabia or Iran … pay extra taxes for being Christian as they did before, or pushing me to change my religion, otherwise they kill me.”
(The tax reference is to jizya, a Qur’an-ordained tax historically levied on non-Muslim men living in Islamic societies. The jizya was enforced in Egypt and the rest of the Ottoman Empire until the mid-19th century.)
As for his hopes for a future Egypt, Asfour said he would like to see a country where all citizens can vote, where there is a “civil government not Islamic government,” where religion is removed from official identity documents, and where Christians can build churches freely, without the need for presidential approval.
The committee looking at the constitution says it will recommend amendments to the existing document, rather than propose a completely new one.
Some Egyptian human rights advocates would prefer to see it thrown out completely.
“No amendments, however extensive, would be enough to salvage it because the philosophy and spirit of the constitution are diametrically opposed to democratic values and human rights,” Cairo Center for Human Rights Studies director Bahy elddin Hassan said in an op-ed published in the Al Ahram newspaper. “The present constitution can only encourage despotism.”
In a recent document offering recommendations for a new Egyptian constitution, 15 human rights organizations in the country said the document should “establish the civil nature of the state as a state for all its citizens based on the principles of equality and impartiality toward all citizens regardless of religion, belief, gender, or race.”
It also should “guarantee freedom of religion and belief for all citizens without discrimination and criminalize incitement to religious hatred and sectarian violence,” said the groups, known collectively as the Forum for Independent Egyptian Human Rights Organizations.
In what Egypt’s Christians fear may be a sign of things to come, a senior Islamic cleric asked Christians to bow in Muslim prayer in an act of submission to Allah.
On Friday, famed Egyptian theologian Yusuf al-Qaradawi, a spiritual leader to the Muslim Brotherhood who hosts a popular Islam-themed television show on Al Jazeera, led the Islamic prayer services in Cairo’s Tahrir Square, the epicenter of Egypt’s uprising.
While he repeatedly offered nods to Egypt’s Coptic Christians, unmentioned in most news media accounts of the ceremony was that Qaradawi asked all in attendance, specifically singling out Christians, to bow in Islamic prayer.
A Coptic Christian at the event told WND the request was intimidating.
“Whether he meant to or not, this was asking Christian to bow in an act of submission to Islam and Allah,” said the Christian, who asked that he named be withheld.
“There were maybe 250,000 people at the rally. Almost all were Muslims. So when we (Christians) are asked to bow, and we are in the extreme minority in the crowd, it is intimidating.”
The Christian witness said thousands of Christians in attendance at the rally did not bow.
A Coptic Christian leader told WND he believes Qaradawi’s request may reflect a larger emerging Islamic role in Egypt.
Qaradawi’s speech was, in part, focused on political Islam, replete with his quoting verses of the Quran.
While he asked the entire rally to bow in Islamic prayer, he also used his speech to reassure the Christian minority of their place in Egypt, telling the crowd that “in this square sectarianism died.”
He discarded the customary Islamic clerical opening of “Oh Muslims,” in favor of “Oh Muslims and Copts.”
He praised Muslims and Christians for standing together in Egypt’s revolution and even hailed what he called the Coptic Christian “martyrs” who once fought the Romans and Byzantines.
Then he asked the Christians to bow in Muslim prayer.
“I invite you to bow down in prayer together,” he said.
Egyptian Christians fear implementation of Islamic law
Qaradawi had been a vocal opponent of deposed Egyptian rule Hosni Mubarak. He has lived in exile in Qatar for decades. His return to Egypt is seen as evidence of a change in favor of the Muslim Brotherhood.
He is banned from entering the United States and Britain for his support of violence against Israel and American forces in Iraq.
Last week, WND reported members of the Coptic Christian community in Egypt quietly met with U.S. officials to object to the inclusion of the Muslim Brotherhood in a committee that is forming a new Egyptian constitution.
Egypt’s ruling military council last week appointed a committee to amend the Egyptian constitution. The new committee consists of eight members, including Sobhi Saleh, a lawyer and a senior member of the Muslim Brotherhood.
The Brotherhood seeks to establish Islamic law in Egypt. Both Hamas and al-Qaida are violent offshoots of the Muslim Brotherhood.
A top source in Egypt’s Coptic Christian community told WND he and other Coptic Christians held a meeting last Monday with officials at the U.S. Embassy in Cairo to raise objections about the inclusion of the Brotherhood in the constitutional committee.
The source said the Christian community pointed out that the official Muslim Brotherhood charter, amended in 2007, calls for the imposition of Islamic law in Egypt.
Among other things, the charter, obtained by WND, states that non-Muslims cannot hold government positions and must pay to the state the jizya, or special Islamic protection tax.
The constitutional committee held its first meeting on Tuesday with the president of Egypt’s military council. It is mandated to complete its work within 10 days, with a referendum on the amended constitution to take place within two months.
Reawakened terrorist wing
WND was first to report an Egyptian Islamist terrorist organization founded by the Muslim Brotherhood is re-establishing itself amid the political upheaval in Cairo.
Both Egyptian and Israeli security officials said the group, Al-Gama’a al-Islamiyya, is being reconstituted at the direction of the Muslim Brotherhood.
The officials affirmed Al-Gama’a al-Islamiyya serves as the de facto “military” wing of the Brotherhood, which originally founded the group.
Al-Gama’a al-Islamiyya is suspected of involvement in the 1981 assassination of Egyptian president Anwar Sadat, and it took credit for the 1995 attempted killing of Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak. It has carried out scores of deadly terrorist attacks, some targeting foreign tourists.
Last week, an Egyptian security official was quoted in the news media stating Egyptian troops had arrested two armed Palestinians from Hamas who entered the country illegally from the Gaza Strip.
The security official told reporters the men had crossed from Gaza into Egypt’s Sinai Peninsula using smuggling tunnels and that they were arrested in a stolen car in the town of el-Arish, near the border, along with three Egyptian smugglers.
The official told the Associated Press the two Hamas men were caught with weapons, hand grenades, two RPGs and about $8,600 in cash.
A senior Egyptian security official speaking to WND said an investigation found the two Hamas men were aiding in the reorganization of Al-Gama’a al-Islamiyya, which, he said, is attempting to reconstitute itself under the direction of the Muslim Brotherhood.
The Egyptian security official said Hamas is helping Al-Gama’a al-Islamiyya organize into divisions and to arm itself with weapons currently in the Sinai waiting to be smuggled into Gaza.
Both Israel and Egypt say Hamas has amassed a large quantity of weapons in the Sinai Peninsula, where the Islamic group has been attempting to smuggle the weaponry into Gaza.
Now, the Egyptian security official said, some of those weapons are going to arm the reconstituted Al-Gama’a al-Islamiyya.
Notorious terrorist attacks
Al-Gama’a al-Islamiyya is classified as a terrorist group by the U.S., European Union and Egypt. Like the Muslim Brotherhood, the group was dedicated to the overthrow of Mubarak, seeking to replace his regime with an Islamic state.
The group has carried out numerous deadly attacks.
The group’s leader has talked publicly about collaborating in planning the murder of Anwar Sadat with the Egyptian Islamic Jihad, which was blamed for the killing.
In the late 1980s and 1990s, Al-Gama’a al-Islamiyya carried out scores of terrorist acts in Egypt, including the murders and attempted murders of prominent Egyptian writers and intellectuals. The group also targeted tourists and foreigners.
In 1997, it carried out the notorious Luxor massacre in Luxor, Egypt, killing 58 foreign tourists and four Egyptians. Al-Gama’a al-Islamiyya went on a shooting rampage in that attack, even reportedly mutilating the bodies of victims. A note praising Islam was found inside one disemboweled body.
One year earlier, in 1996, Al-Gama’a al-Islamiyya carried out a shooting rampage at the Europa Hotel in Cairo, killing 18 Greek tourists.
In 1995, the group took responsibility for a car bomb attack on the Egyptian embassy in Islamabad, Pakistan, murdering 16 people.
After a massive Egyptian crackdown on the group in 1997 following the Luxor attack, Al-Gama’a al-Islamiyya brokered a deal with the Egyptian government that is known as the Nonviolence Initiative, in which some leaders of the movement said they renounced violence.
Still, exiled leaders of Al-Gama’a al-Islamiyya maintained the group would not give up its violence.
Brotherhood declares war on U.S.
Prominent U.S. commentators also have been claiming the Muslim Brotherhood is a moderate organization and denying any Islamist plot to seize power.
In November, the Brotherhood’s new supreme guide, Muhammad Badi, delivered a sermon entitled, “How Islam Confronts the Oppression and Tyranny.”
“Resistance is the only solution,” stated Badi. “The United States cannot impose an agreement upon the Palestinians, despite all the power at its disposal. Today it is withdrawing from Iraq, defeated and wounded, and is also on the verge of withdrawing from Afghanistan because it has been defeated by Islamist warriors.”
Badi went on to declare the U.S. is easy to defeat through violence, since it is “experiencing the beginning of its end and is heading toward its demise.”
A Protestant renewal organization does not think it is a good idea for church buildings to be used for Muslim worship services.
Fox News recently reported that two Protestant churches are getting criticized for opening their facilities to Muslims groups that are in need of a place to conduct their services. Heartsong Church near Memphis, for example, reportedly allowed members of the Memphis Islamic Center to hold Ramadan prayers in its building last September, and Aldersgate United Methodist Church in Alexandria, Virginia currently allows the Islamic Circle of North America (ICNA) to hold regular Friday prayers in its facility while their new mosque is under construction.
Alan Wisdom, vice president for research and programs and director of the Presbyterian Action Committee at The Institute on Religion & Democracy (IRD), does not think God’s house should be used by those who do not accept Jesus.
“Worship is a sacred thing. We dedicate our sanctuaries to the worship of Jesus Christ. It is not appropriate in a space that’s dedicated to the worship of the Lord Jesus Christ to have prayers said based on the false prophecy of Mohammad,” Wisdom contends. “And I would venture to say that I doubt that Muslims would allow us to pray in the name of Jesus Christ in a mosque that was dedicated to Islam.”
While Wisdom believes it is important for Christians to reach out and share the gospel with Muslims, he concludes that church congregations should never allow their buildings to be used for religious practices that oppose Christian teachings.
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