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Power and Willpower In the American Future, by Robert J. Lieber
It is no surprise to American Thinker’s sophisticated readers that the meme of the day is that America is in decline and will not retake her place in the world.
Mark Steyn’s recent article in NRO is typical:
The Sun Also Sets
I was in Australia earlier this month and there, as elsewhere on my recent travels, the consensus among the politicians I met (at least in private) was that Washington lacked the will for meaningful course correction, and that, therefore, the trick was to ensure that, when the behemoth goes over the cliff, you’re not dragged down with it. It is faintly surreal to be sitting in paneled offices lined by formal portraits listening to eminent persons who assume the collapse of the dominant global power is a fait accompli. “I don’t feel America is quite a First World country anymore,” a robustly pro-American Aussie told me, with a sigh of regret.
Robert J. Lieber, Professor of Government and International Affairs at Georgetown University, has a more optimistic — and I think better balanced — assessment of America’s present situation in his new book: Power and Willpower in the American Future: Why the United States Is Not Destined to Decline. Professor Lieber doesn’t ignore or easily dismiss the considerable challenges we face right now. Taking a longer, historical view of things, however, he says we are a country that has repeatedly shown great flexibility, resilience, capacity for change and course correction and that good leadership, willpower and careful policy will restore America to its former place in the world: “Much remains to be done in domestic as well as foreign policy,” he concludes after a substantial review of the difficulties we face domestically and internationally, “but the robustness of American society coupled with its unique capacities for adaptation and adjustment are likely once again to prove decisive.”
His book is due to be released in early May but can be preordered at Amazon.
Up until now, the Old Testament book Song of Solomon has mostly been directed toward adults, married or unmarried. Author Chris Ray, however, is now seeking to shift that focus to a younger audience in his latest book Song of Solomon for Teenagers: And Anyone Else Who Wonders Why They Are Here.
“It is apparent when looking at the statistics for divorce, suicide, drinking and drug abuse that we must be missing something,” Ray revealed. “This book is about just that.”
Song of Solomon has recently become a popular topic within the Christian community today, with renowned pastors like Mark Driscoll and Ed Young speaking from or referencing the vivid verses in their books or sermons on sex and marriage.
Song of Solomon for Teenagers targets many of the issues specific to teens – though it has been more widely received by adults up until now – with its main goal to prevent “sexual missteps.”
“In our society, sex is a cheap substitute for love,” the youth minister told The Christian Post.
When teens begin having sex, they stop listening and engaging with God, no longer moving forward in their relationship with Him, settling for second best instead. This includes teens that are “really going towards God” in earlier years as well.
“It seemed to me that God wanted us to tell them the truth about love before they started having sex,” Ray explained to CP.
“God had the plan from the beginning. We have the tendency to twist and pervert the truth but I want to get people acquainted with their wonderful God before they settle on second best.”
“The Song of Solomon is about love. Real love is way more than sex,” the father of five clarified. “Song of Solomon explains why we were born. The simple fact is that life is all about love. God is love. It’s all about God. [And] this God has chosen to love us.”
The book is organized as a verse-by-verse commentary and is inspired from his previous teachings on Song of Solomon.
“It had the best results of anything I have ever taught,” Ray said, who has been working with teenagers for more than 25 years. “In fact, the first class [I taught this to] is now in their mid-thirties and as [far] as I can tell every one of them still goes to church and pays attention to God.”
When asked how he wisely approached and addressed the topics broached in Song of Solomon, given the controversy surrounding its interpretation, Ray stated, “Stop and think about it. Did God write soft porn?”
“Not the real God. Did He write a book that children should not be allowed to read? Not the real God. In fact, the real God says every word He gave us is important.
“I would not want to be in the shoes of a person who used this book as … a soft porn type,” he said. “If you read my book you will see that God is not like that. Sex is not like that. If, in fact, this is the greatest Song anyone can sing (and it is), it is no secret that the devil doesn’t want anyone singing it.”
For Ray, the devil has a large role in distorting sex and man’s interpretation of it. “Our adversary doesn’t want us to be happy, well adjusted, loving people. He wants us using and abusing the way truly selfish people do [but] God has the answer.”
“My goal is that people of all ages will see what life is really all about,” the Indiana resident hoped for his book. “God had an overriding purpose for our life.”
Song of Solomon for Teenagers: And Anyone Else Who Wonders Why They Are Here is the first of Ray’s God Wrote It to You series.
Concerned that youth today are too distracted to see the “good their lives should be,” the church leader began the series to inspire teens to open their eyes and realize that God “wrote to them” before they did something they would later regret as an adult.
“Adults seem to have gotten more out of it than teens,” Ray described. “I think that may have something to do with the fact they now see the truth and wish they had seen it when they were younger. In other words, they now have the regrets I am trying to stop the teens from having.”
Max Singer’s “History of the Future” Lexington Books, 178 pages, $24.95, eBook: $9.99
I’ve just read one of the most brilliant, most important — and most optimistic — books about world politics that’s been written in the last hundred years.
Reader, have I got your attention?
It’s Max Singer’s History of the Future, and if Singer is correct — for those among you who don’t know Max, he usually is — we’re heading into a world that will be richer and more peaceful than humanity has ever known.
Simply put, Singer’s thesis is that starting in roughly 1800 the human race began its transition to modernity. As we move through the 21st century quite a few countries have completed this transition, dozens are well along in the process, some are only just now beginning to become modern, and others haven’t yet started. This global transition to the modern world is uneven, sometimes violent and often sloppy. But it’s irresistible and broadly speaking irreversible, which means that in roughly another century the entire world will be modern — and that will be a wealthier and less war-prone world that we have ever known.
Singer rests his thesis on a set of characteristics that contrast a country in the “traditional” world with a country that has entered the “modern” world. For instance, in the traditional world lifespan is short, while in the modern world it’s long. In the traditional world practically no one has a high-school education; in the modern world almost everybody has one. In the traditional world most people live in villages or nomadic bands; in the modern world most people live in cities. In the traditional world, most people are dominated by nature; in the modern world most people are protected from nature. In the traditional world most people don’t have a say in how they’re governed, while in the modern world most people do have a say in how they’re governed.
Singer stands back far enough from today’s discouraging and sometimes-ghastly headlines to see the long-term trends:
There are two centuries of experience with modernization. We can see that Asian as well as European countries have already completed the passage to modernity. We see that some countries from all regions and cultures have moved a good way along the path to modernization. This includes Muslim countries like Indonesia, Turkey, and Malaysia; sub-Saharan countries like Ghana; and Latin American countries like Chile and Colombia. So we learn that many more countries are likely to become modern, too.
But we also see that many countries have not really started on the path to becoming modern, though they have some of the benefits of modernity. We also see countries like Argentina and Cuba, which once were well along the path to development, stagnating and falling far behind. So we learn that modernization is not just for some narrow group of special countries, nor is it automatic and guaranteed for everyone.
We also see that overall, the pace of growth is uneven. Per capita growth for the whole world was nearly three percent a year from 1950 to 1973, but just a little more than half as fast from 1973 to 2003 (although faster in the last years of the period.). Only Asia, led by China and India, grew faster after 1973 than in the twenty-three years before 1973. …
It seems clear that unless there is a drastic and unprecedented change for the worse, much of the world will continue moving along the path to modernity. The real questions are: How fast? How many will be left behind?”
So what does this tell us about the future?
Most of the next century will be overwhelmingly dominated by modern countries. The big story will no longer be the passage to modernity, because most of the world will have completed its passage. In the twenty-second century the concern about modernity will be what, if anything, should be done about the part of the world that hasn’t made it yet…..When you think about it, the question of when the “whole world” will be modern is not so important. Once three-quarters of the world is modern, and much of the rest is on the way, it will be the modern part of the world that counts.
And if you’ve been yearning to once again hear the voice of a hard-headed optimist — and who among us who remembers, say, Ronald Reagan, hasn’t been yearning to hear this voice again? — here’s just one paragraph that’s typical of the clear, insightful, and uplifting prose that marks every page of Singer’s remarkable book:
Until recently, people assumed that life would remain the way it had always been. Today, people all over the world believe that change is possible, and that their actions can change their destinies. This simple belief looses a great flood of human energy and imagination. It is the fundamental source of the power that cannot be stopped from gradually transforming the world. This power can be resisted in some places, perhaps even for decades or more, but it will always break out someplace else, and eventually it will overcome resistance everywhere.
There are two things to say about Singer’s viewpoint: The first is: Wow! The second is: He’s absolutely, obviously right. Just look at some actual, real-world numbers that rarely make the headlines and to which so many of today’s political leaders seem oblivious: By 1980 or 1990, more than 2 billion human beings had emerged from poverty. Since then, about another half-billion have emerged from poverty; in just the last six years more than 20 million Brazilians have crossed this magic line. Today on the continent of Africa the number of people who now have disposable income is — take a deep breath — 300 million.
Put all these numbers together, and you discover that each year more than 50 million human beings are emerging from poverty. The result is the most astounding — and most under-reported — fact in the world: the emergence of a global middle class. In other words, and just as Singer posits, the world is getting richer rather than poorer — as he puts it, more modern. And in the modern world, most people are busy leading productive lives and aren’t interested in causing trouble beyond their borders. They’d rather shop than fight. They’d rather have a Starbucks on the corner than a car bomb.
Why is this so important? Because these people — the ones you see marching toward Tahir Square in Cairo, or risking their lives in Libya, Syria, Tunisia and Iran — don’t want war. They just want a better life. They want a say in how they’re governed. They want jobs, and enough money to live decently and raise a family. And this means they will be our future customers, creating a demand for the kinds of goods and services our country’s entrepreneurs know how to produce and sell. And that will create more jobs for American workers.
Obviously, there’s a lot that can go wrong. These revolutions can take some nasty turns; indeed, some already are. Singer readily acknowledges that there are people in this world — al Qaeda, Hamas, the Taliban and so forth — who would rather set off a car bomb than sip a latte. And he believes that no compromise is possible with these or any other group of Muslims who believe in violent jihad. Moreover, he sees the difficulties inherent in reconciling Islam with modernity:
Islam does not recognize a distinction between the political and religious realms….This is why, today, many Islamic countries are more deeply Islamic than Christian countries are Christian. It is also why outside of Turkey and Iraq (so far), Islamic experiments with democracy have failed, and free and representative government, with the guarantee of individual rights, has not taken root…Democracy, based on the rule of the people, grates against the Islamic view that law comes from God. It is regarded as a denial of the sovereignty of God.
But after providing his readers with a detailed overview of where things stand in the Muslim world today, and of how Islam is actually practiced, Singer concludes that even this faith can be modified as “modernity” takes root:
My conclusion from all this discussion and history is that it is not impossible that someday Muslims might reconcile democracy and Islam. Although liberal democracy is a product of the West, and the history of Muslim states is without exception one of autocracy, nothing in the nature of Islam makes it impermeable to the development of democratic institutions or the increasing desire for freedom.
There’s a lot more to History of the Future,including some sharp insights about the nature of work in the coming decades and about the West’s looming demographic problems. It’s good stuff, and worth reading carefully. This is a book that should be required reading for every foreign minister, every intelligence chief, and every head of state.
And it should be read by every American conservative, precisely because History of the Future offers so much hope for a better world. Today in Washington, on talk radio, and on the cable news channels, it’s conservatives who are coming across as the pessimists. We’re the green eyeshade numbers-crunchers who keep explaining why tomorrow is going to be more miserable than today. Fair enough; the debt crisis really is awful, and our left-wing ideologue of a President seems determined to foment an economic crisis he can turn to his political advantage. And his interest in actually fighting and winning the war against radical Islam seems close to zero.
But if there’s one thing we should have learned from President Reagan, and which too many of us seem to have forgotten, it’s that while pessimism may be justified it’s the optimists who usually win.
History of the Future points the way to victory, not merely for Republican or conservative candidates but for humanity. It’s a knockout.
Herbert E. Meyer served during the Reagan administration as special assistant to the director of Central Intelligence and vice chairman of the CIA’s National Intelligence Council. He is author of How to Analyze Information and The Cure for Poverty.
Many think of novels as being purely fictitious. Portrait of a Spy, Daniel Silva’s latest, is a superb story. His goal is to write an entertaining book, yet one based on reality. This is an exciting, action-packed thriller that takes the reader on a journey through such locales as England, Paris, Washington DC, Saudi Arabia, and New York. It examines the important issues of the day that include terrorism, Islamic women’s rights, and the two faces of Saudi Arabia. He discussed his book with American Thinker.
The first few chapters explore the potential terrorist strategy: multiple suicide bombings, with conventional weapons, that take place in different European cities, for the purpose of creating fear. Paris was chosen because the facial veil was banned; Copenhagen because of the cartoons depicting Mohammed; and London because it has become an easy target. The novel is based on reality: former CIA Director Michael Hayden remarked to American Thinker that the new terrorist strategy will be “less sophisticated, less well organized, less likely to be lethal, if they do succeed, more numerous.”
In this book the characters definitely drive the plot. The main male character in Silva’s last eleven novels is Gabriel Allon, named after the Archangel. He is a semi-retired Israeli operative that works closely with the American and British intelligence with a cover as an art restorer. This character is extremely well-developed and becomes a very likable figure through the understanding of his desires, fears, and apprehensions. On the surface the reader might think that an operative and art restorer are not compatible. However, Silva artfully combines the two by explaining in the book that Allon “believed it was the duty of a restorer to come and go without being seen, leaving no evidence of his presence … standing before the easel, he had total control.”
The main female character is a moderate Muslim, Nadia al-Bakari, who steps up to the plate to ensure that the extremists do not prevail. Silva explained that he created this character based on the “influence of the Christ story and pulled a lot from the Biblical text. I wanted to make her a Christ-like figure.” Terrorism was only a backdrop in this plot, with the main story focusing on a very brave, courageous woman who wants to change the Islamic world. She is recruited by Allon as an operative to help bring down a Yemen Al Qaeda-like network led by an American cleric.
Anyone who is skeptical about Nadia’s ability to change the landscape must think back to the 1990s where the Protestant and Catholic women took charge to forge a peace in Northern Ireland. The theme of the book is that change must come but it will come only from within the Islamic world, which is what Nadia represents. She is a moderating influence, a reformer, who is disgusted that Islamic women are denied basic human rights. Silva explained, “Women of the Arab Islamic world are the key to change since they represent more than half of the population. Yet, they sit on the sidelines, living under the veil.” He hammered the point home by this quote in the book: “Nadia al-Bakari, one of the world’s richest women, would have the rights of a camel. Fewer, she thought resentfully, for even a camel was permitted to show its face in public.”
Anyone disgusted with the biased media will find Zoe Reed an interesting character. She is described in the book as an “orthodox left-wing journalist” who combats her core values with the realism of the world. Silva in a statement made by Allon, points out that being politically correct comes at a price: “Do you still think we should fight these monsters in ways that don’t compromise your core values? Or would you like to return briefly to the real world and help us save innocent lives?”
The antagonist, an American cleric living in Yemen, Rashid al-Husseini, sounds very similar to Anwar al-Awlaki. Silva told American Thinker that he wanted his character to resemble the real Yemen cleric, al-Awlaki, who was “preaching in a Mosque five miles from my house. I looked at the record and in my mind there is no question that this guy was connected to 9/11. After 9/11 he was the voice of moderation and now he is this raging lunatic. I am sorry but I don’t believe it; he was always like that and was lying to us earlier.”
Furthermore, in this novel Rashid was being supported with Saudi money and the double game of Saudi intelligence that appears to be combating the jihadists while at the same time supporting them. When asked about the Saudi attitude, Silva replied that people should have “no illusions about Saudi Arabia. It is a classic straddling state just like Pakistan, but not quite as extreme. Saudi Arabia remains an ATM machine [sic] for Islamic extremists. A lot of money continues to flow to various strains of Islamic extremism. Its amazing to me that they view it as having no choice.” A former operative thinks the problem, as mentioned in the novel, is with Saudi individual donors who give charity to dirty organizations. Fran Townsend, President Bush’s Homeland Security Advisor, who was referred to in this book, commented to American Thinker that “the Saudi Government has made progress in the area of terrorist financing, with the help of the US Treasury Department, but there still remains a good deal of progress which has yet to be achieved.”
Since Silva’s main character is an Israeli operative, did he delve into another issue — the US-Israel relationship? He responded that in the novel he tried to show that the relationship is very good between the two countries at the intelligence and military level, unlike the relationship at the political level. His sources, senior Israeli officials, emphasized that “Israeli and American intelligence really do operate quite closely together, which was brought about by President George W. Bush who really broke down the barriers of mistrust. He made it possible for the Israelis and Americans to operate jointly together.”
His next novel will still have Allon and many of the same cast of characters. Unfortunately, Silva fans will have to wait a whole year to find out Gabriel Allon’s new assignment. Silva gave a hint to American Thinker: “I have a great idea and I am very excited about it. I just got back from a three week trip to Italy and Israel, spending a great deal of time inside the Vatican.”
Daniel Silva’s latest novel, Portrait of a Spy, is a like a fine wine that should be savored to absorb all the details. It explores a lot of current issues through the well-developed character’s eyes. Silva wanted the reader to get a sense of hope, “sticking a knife in the laps of the beasts to change the world. This novel is a play on real martyrdom as opposed to this crazy idea that you blow people up and you are considered a martyr. Playing off the famous Jihadist quote, Nadia believed in life, not death and destruction,” which is exactly what this book portrays.
Looking for some good summer reads? Here are my top five recommendations:
1. Far and away the best book I’ve read this year was A Time To Betray: The Astonishing Double Life of a CIA Agent Inside The Revolutionary Guards of Iran by Reza Kahlili. A reporter friend of mine at CBN first told me about Reza and the book and I bought it on Kindle in April. Wow! Loved it, loved it, loved it. I started reading it and literally couldn’t put it down. It’s a spy story so riveting and a love story so moving that at times I found myself having a hard time breathing, and other times was wiping away tears. I’ve never read a book that took me inside life in revolutionary Iran in 1979, or inside life in the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) in the 1980s, so compellingly as this one does. It’s a must read.
At first, Reza gives us his back story and shares that he was so excited about the rise of the Ayatollah Khomeini and the Islamic Revolution. But then he begins to witness the horrific acts of evil done by the “Supreme Leader” and his followers. He witnesses arrests and tortures and rapes and hangings — even of friends…by friends. And then Reza makes the decision that will change the course of his life forever. On a trip to California to care for his dying aunt — but without telling his wife — he contacts the FBI and offers information about the objectives, methods and leaders of the IRGC in exchange for political asylum for himself and his wife. His hope is that the U.S. will use the information to bring down the tyrannical Khomeini regime and in the process save many lives. The FBI immediately puts him in contact with the CIA, and a CIA official says they would be happy to give the Kahlilis asylum in the U.S. However, the CIA contact explains that what he really wants Reza to do is to go back to Tehran and become a double agent for the Agency inside the IRGC. How Reza makes his decision, how the Agency trains him, how he penetrates Iran’s secrets and communicates them back to his handlers, and the anxiety and tension he faces every step of the way makes for a stunning read. Heart-breaking is Reza’s inability to tell his wife, or her family, or his family, or any of his friends what he is doing, much less why. They are all increasingly disgusted with Khomeini and the revolution and are, therefore, increasingly angry and distraught when Reza starts growing a beard, appearing more devoutly Muslim, and appears to throw himself so passionately into the dirty work of the revolution, getting promoted and more responsibility along the way. The tension becomes unbearable, and threatens Reza’s marriage.
Also heart-breaking coming to the realization that for all the risks that Reza took for the U.S. government, how little Washington has actually ever done to bring down the murderous and apocalyptic regime in Tehran. Reza’s exasperation with American officials who keep trying to negotiate with or kowtow to the mullahs and ayatollahs is palpable in the book. For so long he felt like he was betraying his native country of Iran and his family on behalf of the CIA. Yet in the end one wonders if he was betrayed by that very Agency and the political leaders who oversee it in Washington. In recent months I have had the opportunity to get to know Reza over the phone, and in person, and have been deeply impressed by his courage and resolve. It was an honor to be able to interview him and show that interview at the 2011 Epicenter Conference. Though he no longer works directly for the CIA (though he does teach at the Pentagon’s Joint Counterintelligence Training Center), Reza is clearly still a man on a mission: to liberate the people of Iran from one of the most evil monstrosities of our time, especially before Iran gets nuclear warheads. I applaud him for what he’s doing, and I encourage people to support his efforts. But I’ll tell you what I’ve told him: Iran is going to be liberated, but not by the President of the United States or by Congress or by the CIA, but by the Lord Jesus Christ. The prophecies of Ezekiel 38-39 and Jeremiah 49 reveal that the God of the Bible is going to harshly judge the leaders of Iran in the “last days” and pour out His Holy Spirit and His blessings on that beautiful country and it’s people. He will do so because Iran’s leaders have cursed Christ, the Church, and Israel. The Bible shows us the road to Iran’s liberation will be a very tough one, and the Lord commands us to pray for the people of Iran and to reach every Iranian with the gospel. Reza’s book shows us why the Iranian people are so desperate for the kind of hope and change only Christ can provide.
2. Radical: Taking Back Your Faith From The American Dream by David Platt — Friends recommended I read this at a discipleship retreat we were on in the Outer Banks in May and they were right. It was powerful and deeply challenging. Platt’s point is simple but profound: what if actually studied the Bible and just did what Jesus said rather than explain it away? What if we actually sold our possessions and gave far more to the poor and needy? What if we stepped down from our wordly jobs and served the Lord full-time? What if we stopped running entertainment programs to build mega-churches and actually started making disciples and focused on helping a few believers go deep in their faith rather than babysit thousands of people who aren’t really serious about obeying Jesus? The American church is so shallow. We desperately need the Lord to shake us up and wake us up. Radical is a great place to start.
3. Moses: A Man of Selfless Dedication by Pastor Chuck Swindoll — I’ve been reading the life of Moses from the Bible to my youngest son, Noah, in recent months, and became captivated with this amazingly godly and humble leader all over again. As I became eager to know Moses better — and especially how he dealt with enormous adversity, criticism, betrayal and loneliness — I looked for a theologically sound book that was also very practical. Chuck’s book hit the spot.
4. Paul: A Man of Grit and Graceby Chuck Swindoll– Having loved Chuck’s take on Moses, I’ve started reading and loving this one on the Apostle Paul right now. The extraordinary vision of Jesus the Messiah on the road to Damascus. Paul’s wilderness years. His relationship with Barnabus. His passion for making disciples and planting churches. His willingness to suffer for the sake of his Lord and Savior. His eagerness for the Rapture and the Second Coming of Christ. What’s not to love? And Chuck’s wisdom and experience is priceless.
5. Rawhide Down: The Near Assassination of Ronald Reagan by a Washington Post reporter named Del Quentin Wilber. Unbelievable! Read it on Kindle on a single overnight flight from D.C. to Paris this spring. Was supposed to be sleeping, but got so engrossed that I suddenly heard the captain say, “Please put your seatbelts on. We’ll be landing at Charles De Gaulle Airport in a few moments.” Yikes! A minute by minute account of one of the most horrifying days in recent American history. Interviews with dozens of people who were intimately involved. Incredibly well researched and documented. But reads like a first-rate political thriller. Couldn’t recommend it more!
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